The Nevada men’s basketball team faces Fresno State this Saturday at the Save Mart Center. This game holds significance as Nevada aims to extend its winning streak against a struggling Fresno State squad. To secure the victory, Nevada must focus on three critical aspects.
Maintain Consistent Performance
Nevada’s challenge lies in keeping their intensity high despite the perceived drop in opponent quality. The Wolf Pack has occasionally underperformed against less formidable teams, such as UC Davis and Southern Illinois. However, their strong Mountain West conference starts against Boise State and Colorado State show they can elevate their play. Facing Fresno State, currently ranked 174th in NET rankings, Nevada must avoid complacency, especially on the road.
Control the Turnover Battle
Fresno State employs a defensively disruptive style, forcing opponents into 15.1 turnovers per game, ranking 29th nationally in turnover creation. Despite Fresno State’s slower pace—ranking 146th adjusted tempo—their ball pressure can lead to costly mistakes. Nevada excels in ball handling, placing second nationally in lowest turnovers, and has increased its defensive pressure this season. Winning the turnover battle will be a pivotal factor and gives Nevada a clear edge.
Attack Inside the Paint
Fresno State boasts a strong perimeter defense, allowing just 28.4% shooting on three-pointers, placing them 24th nationally. However, their interior defense is vulnerable, giving up 57.1% shooting on two-pointers, near the bottom nationally. With limited rim protection—averaging only 2.1 blocks per game—the Bulldogs struggle inside. Nevada’s strategy should emphasize aggressive drives and finishing at the rim. While Nevada has had difficulties converting close range, their offensive aggression and ability to draw fouls could exploit Fresno State’s interior weaknesses.
Prediction
Nevada is projected to win this matchup, with a forecasted score of 79-68. Securing a victory here is crucial if Nevada hopes to maintain their undefeated record against the Mountain West’s lower tier teams this season. Historically, Nevada has dominated this rivalry, winning 16 of their last 17 meetings. Fresno State’s current five-game losing streak further tilts the odds. Sustaining their strong start will put Nevada in a favorable position for the Mountain West title chase.
In conclusion, Nevada’s success against Fresno State will depend on consistent effort, protecting the ball, and exploiting inside scoring opportunities. These elements align well with the Wolf Pack’s strengths and Fresno State’s vulnerabilities, setting the stage for Nevada to continue their solid season trajectory.
Read more at: nevadasportsnet.com
