Game 4 of the NBA Finals brings a clear betting and DFS spotlight onto Victor Wembanyama and Jalen Brunson, two stars who have carried much of the series’ offensive weight. The San Antonio Spurs and New York Knicks return to Madison Square Garden with the series tilted 2-1 to New York after the Spurs’ 115-111 Game 3 win.
The road team has won all three games so far, which has kept the series volatile and raised the stakes for Wednesday night. ESPN’s daily cheat sheet points to a matchup that could swing again if the Knicks reclaim control or if the Spurs keep leaning on Wembanyama’s production.
What the market says about Game 4
New York enters as a 2.5-point favorite, with a money line of -135 and a total of 216.5. ESPN Analytics projects the Knicks by 2.4 points with 215.8 total points, suggesting another close game is the most likely outcome.
The injury report is short, with San Antonio listing David Jones Garcia as out for ankle-related reasons and New York reporting no injuries.
Why Wembanyama still drives the Spurs outlook
Victor Wembanyama has scored at least 51 fantasy points in every game of the series, including 61.5 in Game 3. He followed a 32-point performance in Monday’s win, and San Antonio’s postseason pattern has been simple: the Spurs have been far better when he is scoring at a higher level.
That makes him the most expensive DFS piece on the slate at $13,200 and a strong captain option. ESPN’s Eric Moody notes that the Spurs need a win to avoid falling behind 3-1 in a best-of-seven series, a position that has historically been almost impossible to escape.
Brunson remains central for New York
Jalen Brunson continues to dominate the Knicks’ usage profile, sitting at a 38.0% usage rate in the series. He has posted at least 35 fantasy points in three straight games and at least 44 in each of the last two, even while shooting just 36.7% from the field.
The Spurs have made his looks difficult with trapping and pressure, but Brunson still shapes nearly everything New York does on offense. At $10,800, he remains one of the most important DFS decisions on the board.
Two betting angles Moody likes for Wednesday
Moody is backing Dylan Harper for 25+ points, rebounds and assists at -102. The rookie has cleared that line in two of three games and has played 28.2 minutes per game, with his minutes rising in each of the last two contests.
He is also taking Mikal Bridges to score 13+ points at +102. Bridges had only two points in Game 3, but he scored 20 in Game 2 and has been more productive when New York gets him easier catches and cleaner movement rather than relying on isolation.
DFS value that could decide the slate
Stephon Castle sits in the midrange at $8,800 after finishing with 40.8 fantasy points in Game 3, his best mark of the series. He has taken at least 14 shots in every game and added enough rebounds and assists to keep his floor steady.
Dylan Harper is the other Spurs name to keep in focus at $6,400. He has scored at least 28 fantasy points and played at least 28 minutes in every game of the series, giving lineups a strong combination of stability and upside if his aggression in the paint keeps growing.
