Damaging wind is the main concern as storms move into Middle Tennessee overnight and continue into Monday. www.wsmv.com says a First Alert Weather Day is in effect for Sunday night and Monday as the region prepares for a round of strong to severe thunderstorms.
Shower and storm activity is expected to arrive around midnight from the northwest. Some storms could be strong to severe at first, especially across northwest Middle Tennessee and southwest Kentucky, where the best chance for severe weather is expected.
Overnight Timing and Main Risks
Storms should reach Nashville around 1 a.m., then weaken as they push southward. There is also a very low chance of an isolated tornado near the Tennessee-Kentucky line, but damaging wind gusts remain the biggest threat.
Monday brings another round of rain and thunderstorms, with the greatest severe threat along and near the Cumberland Plateau from mid-afternoon through early evening. Wind, hail, and an isolated tornado could all be possible with the strongest storms.
What Monday Is Expected To Bring
The morning forecast calls for scattered showers and thunderstorms, with strong gusty wind possible in the initial wave over southern and southeastern Middle Tennessee. It will stay warm and muggy, with a low near 74.
During the afternoon, scattered showers and thunderstorms continue. An isolated strong or severe storm remains possible, mainly well east of Nashville, with a high near 80.
By evening, showers and thunderstorms should be exiting, and the severe threat is expected to end by mid-evening. Temperatures will fall into the 70s.
What Comes After Monday
Tuesday is expected to turn mostly cloudy and mild in the morning, followed by breaking clouds and slightly less humid air in the afternoon. Highs should reach 84 before skies become mainly clear Tuesday evening.
Low rain chances return Wednesday and Thursday, though most of both days should stay dry and seasonable. Another batch of storms is likely late Friday, followed by hotter and drier weather next weekend, with a few showers and storms still possible on Saturday.