Rebound Season

Paul Goldschmidt looked finished late last season. Now he is producing one of the best offensive runs in baseball, even though the usual signs of a breakout are not really there. His 2026 rebound has arrived with a strange profile. He is swinging slower, making softer contact, and chasing and whiffing more, yet the results have been excellent for the Yankees. What makes the turnaround so unusual Goldschmidt spent the final four months of 2025 hitting .226/.277/.333, then sat on the free-agent market until February. At age 38, he has since become one of New York’s most important bats, especially while Aaron Judge has been sidelined with a rib injury. Season Snapshot 2025 Final Four Months 2026 Through Thursday Slash line .226/.277/.333 Strong rebound production Age 38 38 Home runs Not highlighted 8 Only three batters have more home runs than Goldschmidt’s eight since Judge went down. If he kept this pace, it would be one of the best hitting seasons ever by a player 38 or older who is not a full-time designated hitter. 1) His contact profile has become more extreme Goldschmidt’s hard-hit rate has not changed much, but the shape of his contact has shifted sharply. His weak contact rate has quadrupled from 2% to 8%, while his barrel rate has climbed from about 8% to 12%. That makes him more of an all-or-nothing hitter than before. The weak contact is worse, but the barrels are more valuable, and the tradeoff is working. 2) He may be hunting four-seam fastballs Against four-seamers, Goldschmidt was already solid last year at .313 with a .493 slugging percentage. This year, those numbers have surged to .396 and 1.000, both top-tier marks in the sport and the best of his career. Part of the answer may be pitch selection. He has moved a bit more toward looking on the outer half of the plate, which may be helping him find the fastballs he can still punish. 3) The Yankees are putting him in the right spots Goldschmidt’s success is also tied to usage. He has long owned one of baseball’s largest platoon splits, and he has been facing left-handed pitchers often enough to give his bat more favorable matchups. That setup may change when Judge and Giancarlo Stanton return, which could reduce his playing time. For now, though, the Yankees are leaning into the version of Goldschmidt that is producing. Aaron Boone recently praised him after a two-homer game against Tarik Skubal, calling him “a Hall of Fame player” and saying he is “in amazing shape” and “incredibly prepared.” Boone added that Goldschmidt “just enjoys the game as much as you possibly can.” That may be the cleanest explanation available for a season that is not making easy sense. Sixteen years into his career, Goldschmidt is not done yet, and he is proving it in a way few expected. Read more at: www.mlb.com

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